Carney’s Liberals gaining momentum in Quebec: Léger poll

Liberal Leader Mark Carney talks to media as he leaves the prime minister's office and makes his way to a caucus meeting in Ottawa, Monday, March 10, 2025. (Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press)

If a federal election were held today, Mark Carney’s Liberal Party could win a majority of seats in Quebec, according to a new Léger poll.

The survey of 1,548 Canadians was conducted online for The Canadian Press between March 7 and 10. Since it was a web survey, a margin of error cannot be attributed.

Across the country, Carney’s Liberals garnered 37 per cent of support, putting them on a par with Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives.

This represents an increase of seven percentage points for the Liberal Party and a drop of six points for the Tories since Feb. 24.

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In Quebec, the gap is marked: the Liberal team has 36 per cent of voting intentions, compared with just 23 per cent for the Conservatives.

Against the backdrop of a tariff war with the United States, Yves-François Blanchet’s Bloc Québécois is struggling to make its mark, dropping to 25 per cent from 37 per cent in January, according to Léger.

Jagmeet Singh’s New Democratic Party closed the gap in Quebec with 8 per cent support.

The Liberals are making a comeback in voting intentions after lagging far behind the Conservatives for almost two years.

However, it’s not all smooth sailing for Carney, the former governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, with 53 per cent of Canadians saying they want a change of government.

Around half of Quebec respondents say they are dissatisfied with Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government, which has been in power for almost a decade.

Moreover, 33 per cent of Quebecers would like to exercise their right to vote this spring, in April or May, while another third would be prepared to wait until Oct. 20. It is possible that a general election could be called in Canada as early as next week.

With regard to the Canadian Armed Forces budget, 51 per cent of Quebecers said they would like to see it increased, 30 per cent said they would like to see it remain unchanged and eight per cent said they would like to see it reduced.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published in French on March 12, 2025.